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UFC Live on Versus 5 Free Picks – SportsUntapped.com
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Added August 13th, 2011 by Matt

UFC Live on Versus 5 Free Picks
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Here are Sports Untapped’s free picks for UFC Live: Hardy vs. Lytle on Versus.

Amir Sadollah -350 vs. Duane Ludwig +250

Sadollah dealt with some injuries after winning “The Ultimate Fighter”, but since then he has not only been more active as a fighter, you can easily see his progression as one. Ludwig has worked all the way back from a horrific ankle injury, but Sadollah is solid in every aspect of the game. Ludwig’s chance is to score a KO, but he will not be able to out kick-box Sadollah. Take Sadollah -350

Jim Miller -160 vs. Ben Henderson +130

Miller is 9-1 in the UFC, and it seems to be fate that he gets a shot at the title. Ben Henderson will have something to say about that, but if we compare their skill sets, Henderson’s shot in this bout is to out-wrestle and/or submit Miller. I find that unlikely to happen, because Miller is as technically and fundamentally sound as any fighter in the UFC. He’s also improved his standup game. Miller will take it, and then get his title shot. Take Miller -160

Charles Oliveira -135 vs. Donald Cerrone +105

I’m surprised to see Oliveira as the favorite in this bout, even if it’s just an indication of where the money is being laid down. Cerrone is a very tough matchup in this division, and he should be able to keep this fight standing, where he is better, and more battle-tested than Oliveira. Oliveira is a ground game wizard, but Cerrone is no slouch on the ground either. My guess is this will be awarded “Fight of the Night” honors, with Cerrone getting the win. Take Cerrone +105

Dan Hardy -110 vs. Chris Lytle -120

It’s win or go home for Dan Hardy. A loss to Lytle would be his 4th straight in the UFC, and it would be a miracle if his services are retained after that. Hardy seems to acknowledge his deficiencies in a back-handed manner, and says he has worked on his ground game and wrestling. But then he also said he will stand and trade with Lytle until someone is knocked out. Lytle is known for bringing it every time he enters the Octagon, but it’s my belief that if Hardy starts to get the better of the exchanges that Lytle will take this to the ground, where he is underrated. Wherever the fight goes, I like Lytle. Take Lytle -120

Quick Prelim Picks:
Edwin Figueroa over Jason Reinhardt
Danny Castillo over Jacob Volkmann
Cole Miller over T.J. O’Brien
Jimy Hettes over Alex Caceres
Karlos Vemola over Ronny Markes
Kyle Noke over Ed Herman
Eddie Wineland over Joseph Benavidez
Jared Hamman over CB Dollaway

 
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