This week’s Sunday Night Football matchup features two teams seemingly headed in different directions. The Green Bay Packers nearly went undefeated last season, but already have three losses in their first five games this season, including a stunning road loss to the Indianapolis Colts last week. The Packers travel further South this week to face the undefeated Houston Texans, the current Super Bowl favorites.

SPREAD: Packers +3.5
MONEY LINE: Packers +165, Texans -190
OVER/UNDER: 47.5

The loss in Indianapolis dropped the Packers to 2-3 overall and 1-4 against the spread this season, including 0-2 overall and 0-3 ATS on the road. The Texans are coming off a short week after beating the Jets 23-17 on Monday Night Football, but failing to cover for the first time this season after entering that game as 9.5-point road favorites.

This is only the third-ever meeting between the Packers and Texans. The road team winning each of the first two matchups by a field goal, mostly recently the Texans pulling an upset at Lambeau in December 2008, four years after the Packers won the first-ever meeting in Houston.

This season, three of five Packers games have gone Over, with road games evenly split. The Texans have had two games go Over, two Under and one push; plus Houston’s two home games this season have also split evenly, one Over, one under.

If I were a gambling man, I’d think the Packers might finally have gotten there wakeup call, so I’d take Green Bay to cover and the Over.