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The English Premier League season concludes on Sunday, and we’ve got a soccer betting position that should be an easy winner.  There’s a good deal of drama entering the final day–if Chelsea wins their game, they’re Premier League champs.  If they don’t, Manchester United can win the title with a victory.  Unfortunately, both teams are priced way out of line due to their ‘must win’ scenarios and we don’t have enough confidence in the visitors to take the big price.  Instead, we’ve got a play in what should be a miserable game to watch between Birmingham City and the Bolton Wanderers.

ENGLISH PREMIER LEAGUE–BOLTON WANDERERS VS. BIRMINGHAM CITY  8 AM PACIFIC/11 AM EASTERN:

This is a meaningless game between a couple of teams that put the “M” in Premier League ‘mediocrity’.  Neither team has anything to play for on the final day of the season.  They won’t get relegated, so no motivation there and they’re way out of the race for any of the European tournament spots.  Birmingham has some motivation to hang on to sole possession of 9th place since Blackburn and Stoke City could catch them with victories.  Both teams struggle to score goals, though both play reasonably well defensively when they’re not facing one of the Premier League heavyweights.  The best way to describe this game would be to think of a regular season NHL game between Calgary and Phoenix.

We’ll play this game Under the total and take a shot on Birmingham to win.  They’re the better team overall and Bolton has only 5 wins at home all season.  It’ll be painful to watch, but it looks like the strongest play on the final day of the EPL season.  At Bookmaker, you can get Birmingham +200 on the ‘three way line’ but we’ll take them at +145 so we’ll get our bet back in case of a draw.

PLAY BIRMINGHAM PK +145 OVER BOLTON
PLAY BIRMINGHAM/BOLTON UNDER 2′ -120