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Soccer Betting Free Picks For Sunday: Chelsea at Liverpool – SportsUntapped.com
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Added May 2nd, 2010 by David Glisan

Soccer Betting Free Picks For Sunday:  Chelsea at Liverpool
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Our crazy weekend of sports betting action continues bright and early on Sunday morning with soccer betting, specifically on the English Premier League.  Chelsea’s season is on the line as they hit the road to face a tough Liverpool team.  This game goes at the barbaric time of 8:30 AM Eastern/5:30 AM Pacific so you might as well just stay up at this point…


Here’s the situation–Chelsea leads Manchester United by 1 point heading into Sunday’s action.  Both teams have two games remaining, meaning that if Chelsea wins out they’ll take the Premiership title.  Man U plays at 10th place Sunderland later on Sunday and concludes their season next Sunday with a home game against 11th place Stoke City.  Chelsea will also conclude their season at home against 16th place Wigan.  This all means that today’s game against Liverpool at Anfield will most likely determine the outcome of the Premier League title hunt.

Liverpool is in a tough scheduling situation, having just played a Europa League game on Thursday while Chelsea has been off since last Sunday.  That notwithstanding, this is by no means a ‘gimmie’ for Chelsea.  Despite all of their struggles in what has largely been a disappointing season, Liverpool has been very tough at home in Premier League action.  They’ve lost only twice on their home field against 15 wins and 3 draws which includes a 2-0 victory over Manchester United earlier this season.  Chelsea is a good road team with 9 wins, 4 losses and 5 draws.  Liverpool hasn’t lost at home since Aston Villa beat them back in December, so Chelsea definitely has their work cut out for them.  Liverpool is also undefeated in their last three home games against Chelsea with 2 wins and a draw.

They may not be playing for the Premiership title, but Liverpool is trying to hang on to 7th place and a spot in next season’s Europa League action.  In many ways, however, this game is “their championship game” and they’ll not be easy to beat on their tough home field.  Given the recent form of the series and Liverpool’s solid play at home, the prices on this game are clearly based on the fact that Chelsea ‘needs to win’.  Bookmaker has Chelsea priced as a -133 road favorite, with takeback on Liverpool at +320 and the draw priced at +235.

Playing against teams that ‘need to win’ is a strong concept in every sport, and soccer is no different.  The value is obviously on any position *but* a Chelsea win, though there are a couple of ways to play it.  We’re thinking that a draw is the most likely outcome and you can bet accordingly and look for a big payback.  Our preference, however, is to take Liverpool on the goal handicap line at BetUS.  They’re getting 1/2 goal meaning that we cash a ticket if Liverpool wins or draws.


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