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Added March 29th, 2010 by David Glisan

NBA Betting Free Picks For Monday:  T For Texas

More NBA betting action for Monday as the Dallas Mavericks host the Denver Nuggets.  The Mavs are currently in 2nd place in the Western Conference with a 1/2 game lead over Denver and Utah and a 1 game lead over Phoenix.  That makes this a fairly significant game.  It’ll be televised on the NBA Network here in the US if you actually want to watch it and not just bet on it.


Despite the fact that they’re in 2nd place in the West with an overall record of 48-25 SU and a home record of 25-11 SU the Dallas Mavericks are one of the worst pointspread teams in the league playing in their own building.  Their ATS struggle at home borders on the bizarre but here it is–the Mavs are 8-27 against the spread at home.  As a home favorite in this price range–3′ to 6 points–they’re 3-6 SU/1-8 ATS.  They’re currently on a 7 game losing streak against the spread at home, and haven’t covered a home game since late February.  Overall, they’ve only covered 3 of their L12 games.

Denver isn’t a great road team against the spread at 15-19, but they are 9-4 ATS as an underdog and 3-1 ATS this year as a road dog in this price range (3′ to 6 points).  The Nuggets could really use a victory–they’re only 5-5 SU in their last 10 games and haven’t covered any of their last 8 (though they did play well in a 6 point loss/push at Orlando on Sunday).  Denver has dominated the head to head series against the Mavs–they’re on a 12-2 ATS run overall and have gone 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS in their last six trips to Texas.  In a matchup between two teams struggling to cash tickets, we’ll take the points.


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